Version 23rd March 2020 Bob Earll
Three points:
1. It is widely acknowledged that the Imperial College Paper by Neil Ferguson and colleagues had a huge impact. It was effectively the spur that changed UK policy on the virus. It is explicit about the implications of different options. Timing: if your planning events – see Figure 4! It is going to be a very long haul.
It is very readable – Click here to read the paper.
2. Science – Policy interactions – insights into the discussions that changed the strategy. How science and policy work in practice. Messy stuff. Two articles
Buzzfeed: https://www.buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/10-days-that-changed-britains-coronavirus-approach
Richard Horton, Editor of the Lancet https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30669-3/fulltext
3. Why it is very serious – Symptoms, Treatments and Timelines – Science Insider – Informative 5 minute Video of what you need to know
4. Simulations of the different strategies from ‘do nothing’ to ‘social isolation’ Click here to see the simulations – Washington Post